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Oct 26, 2012
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and that includes places like montana where it's been a dead heat for months on end. but in other states like north dakota which should have been a romp, we have a close contest as well. so i would say the odds of republicans taking the senate unless it turns out to be a 1980s scenario as michael suggested where the floodgates open over the next ten days for mitt romney, and i still believe it looks more like 2004 to me than it does like 1980, the odds of republicans winning the senate are fairly slim. they are still greater than the odds of democrats taking a majority in the house of representatives. democrats are probably going to lose ten of their own seats, most of them the moderates from among the remaining moderates. so they would need 35 net or more to take a majority in the house. and simply not in the cards and not doable. there are opportunities there, and i would be surprised if democrats don't eat into the republican majority by a bit, but if it's more than single digits, that would be a really striking achievement. it's probably going to be more like seve
and that includes places like montana where it's been a dead heat for months on end. but in other states like north dakota which should have been a romp, we have a close contest as well. so i would say the odds of republicans taking the senate unless it turns out to be a 1980s scenario as michael suggested where the floodgates open over the next ten days for mitt romney, and i still believe it looks more like 2004 to me than it does like 1980, the odds of republicans winning the senate are...
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172
Oct 18, 2012
10/12
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were talking about alaska, california, delaware, maryland, missouri, montana, new mexico, south dakota, vermont, wyoming, washington state in west virginia. so they don't call it the dismal science for no reason. the economist has an interesting model, but the scientific method you take the predictions that the model suggests common name common name of the 13 states are going to get less attention, less than the zero thing out of it you compare it to facts and reality and common sense. the reality is that there is no possible way you could run for president under a national popular vote and ignore those 14 states. to get to terry's question, there is no way of rural areas. now, your specific question is will this produce more face-to-face voter contacts? absolutely not. there's essentially none now in the general election campaign for president. and there certainly won't be under a national popular vote. there is retail campaigning in some of the early primaries, particularly in the small states like iowa and new hampshire, which are both early and small, maybe some in south carolina.
were talking about alaska, california, delaware, maryland, missouri, montana, new mexico, south dakota, vermont, wyoming, washington state in west virginia. so they don't call it the dismal science for no reason. the economist has an interesting model, but the scientific method you take the predictions that the model suggests common name common name of the 13 states are going to get less attention, less than the zero thing out of it you compare it to facts and reality and common sense. the...
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Oct 16, 2012
10/12
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they'll proceed to the sportsmens bill sponsored by john tester of montana that would increase access for hunting and fishing and supports land and species conservation. after that senators will return to legislation streamlining refinancing for homeowners who have loans through fannie mae and freddie mac and are current on their payments. watch live gavel-to-gavel coverage as always here on c-span2 when the senate returns for legislative work tuesday, november 13th, at 2 p.m. eastern. >>> the "philadelphia inquirer", by the way, is reporting that at least 1500 people are expected at the funeral of former pennsylvania senator arlen specter at noon today. it's taking place in penn valley, pennsylvania. vice president biden will also be there. senator specter died over the weekend from complications of non-hodgkin's lymphoma which he'd been battling over the years. he was also the longest-serving senator in pennsylvania history. arlen specter was 82 years old. >>> and now back to live coverage of that discussion on pending tax increases and the january budget cuts. >> so if you look at
they'll proceed to the sportsmens bill sponsored by john tester of montana that would increase access for hunting and fishing and supports land and species conservation. after that senators will return to legislation streamlining refinancing for homeowners who have loans through fannie mae and freddie mac and are current on their payments. watch live gavel-to-gavel coverage as always here on c-span2 when the senate returns for legislative work tuesday, november 13th, at 2 p.m. eastern....
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98
Oct 25, 2012
10/12
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there's still plenty of opportunities, and that includes places like montana where it's been a dead heat for months on end. but in other states like north dakota which should've been a romp come with a close contest as well. so i would say the odds of republicans taking the senate, unless it turns out to be a 1987 are as likely just did with the floodgates open over the next 10 days for mitt romney, and i still believe it looks more like 2004 to me than it does like 1980. beyond the republicans win the senate are fairly slim. they are still greater than the odds of democrats taking a majority in the house of representatives. democrats are probably going to lose 10 of their own seats. most of them are moderates, the remaining moderates. so they would need 35 net or more to take majority of the house. and it's simply not in the cards, not doable. there are opportunities there, and i would be surprised if democrats don't peek into the republican majority but a bit, but if it's more than single digits, that would be a striking issue by pick a spot going to be more like seven, eight or nine s
there's still plenty of opportunities, and that includes places like montana where it's been a dead heat for months on end. but in other states like north dakota which should've been a romp come with a close contest as well. so i would say the odds of republicans taking the senate, unless it turns out to be a 1987 are as likely just did with the floodgates open over the next 10 days for mitt romney, and i still believe it looks more like 2004 to me than it does like 1980. beyond the republicans...
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124
Oct 26, 2012
10/12
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remember six years ago the time this group has seen the states you had missouri, montana, virginia still up for grabs and that was the majority of the senate and in those three states, jennifer devotee figured this out from 4.8 million people voted in those three states and those three states were decided by 60,000, 600 total votes and there was the majority of the senate. i think we could be in that kind of situation but basically once you move the nelson open seat from the democratic side of the republican side that's a done deal if they win the white house three if they don't if nebraska has moved over and you have five democratic tossups and republican tossups and keep in mind the last group of tossups the usually don't split down the middle. the heavy tendency to break two-thirds one way or the other. it's kind of like dominoes. let's say the one point race is a last little wind and they typically break one way or the other, so democrats have an advantage but there's a 40% chance. >> and i think if you want to know who has control of the senate, some of the early states, i'm sorry,
remember six years ago the time this group has seen the states you had missouri, montana, virginia still up for grabs and that was the majority of the senate and in those three states, jennifer devotee figured this out from 4.8 million people voted in those three states and those three states were decided by 60,000, 600 total votes and there was the majority of the senate. i think we could be in that kind of situation but basically once you move the nelson open seat from the democratic side of...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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here on the role of government to trace of debate question is a call from carvin who is in hamilton montana. you are on. good morning, an independent. >> caller: yes, i think the government is here to help us do the intangible things we cannot do as individuals by ourselves, and i just want to say that the headlines down there in denver colorado where mitt romney winds i felt that was very disingenuous of the press buy not find enough the fact is going back to where the denver post was in reporting in the morning that mitt romney lied. i mean, because that was an awful disgrace what was going on during the debate, with him lying like that over and over again, flipping and flopping it i just want people to know that the press was not there to do their job, they were there to persuade the opinion and was disgraceful for the denver post pressed to do that. >> host: back to facebook. choose a post from the community builders, stan brigety no. they write the government is the way that we do to get there that which we cannot do alone. that is their point of view. the different role is to provide
here on the role of government to trace of debate question is a call from carvin who is in hamilton montana. you are on. good morning, an independent. >> caller: yes, i think the government is here to help us do the intangible things we cannot do as individuals by ourselves, and i just want to say that the headlines down there in denver colorado where mitt romney winds i felt that was very disingenuous of the press buy not find enough the fact is going back to where the denver post was in...